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May 15, 2024: Why Are Consumers Pessimistic?

Last week’s consumer sentiment report from the University of Michigan reaffirmed that consumers are feeling increasingly negative about the economy. These negative sentiments persist despite jobs growing at an average […]

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May 8, 2024: A Strong Start to the Year in Corporate Earnings

High interest rates, global conflict, problems in commercial real estate—despite these ongoing concerns, the U.S. corporate juggernaut carries forward. Through Monday, over 85% of companies in the S&P 500 Index […]

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May 1, 2024: Why Budget Deficits Matter

本周,有正规的大网赌网站吗者将消化一系列经济数据,包括最新的美国经济数据.S. job market and on manufacturing and service activity. These releases come amid a busy week […]

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Narrow Stock Market, Again

去年,我们发表了两篇季度性的《网赌正规平台网址》报告,指出美国经济表现不佳.S. stock market, and for good reason. Over half of the S&P 500 Index’s 24.2% price […]

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MarketWatch, January 19, 2024

I want my son to inherit my $1.2 million house. Should I leave it to my second husband in my will? He promised to pass it on.   Director of […]

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Our Annual Look into the Future

For all but a few prognosticators, 2023 was a humbling one. 正如我们在上个季度的Insights中提到的,大多数经济学家在进入2023年时都预测会出现衰退. And stock market forecasters were […]

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Where’s My Recession?

In the mid-2000s, author Daniel H. Wilson published “Where’s My Jetpack?,这本书是写给那些沮丧的未来主义者的,他们正在寻找很久以前就承诺过的科技奇迹. Somewhat like Wilson, investors have spent […]

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MarketWatch, August 14, 2023

亲爱的税务人员:我继承了一栋湖边别墅,但我想把我的那份给我妹妹. How can we do this — and avoid paying taxes?   Director of […]

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Artificial Intelligence: Analysis from an Investment Perspective

During the first half of 2023, the S&P 500 Index returned 16.8%,其中近四分之三的业绩来自十家公司.1 The dominating theme driving these lopsided returns […]

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The Narrow Stock Market: And the Trends That Got Us Here

Much has been written about the U.S. stock market’s narrow performance this year—and for good reason. At its most extreme, five months into the year, all of the S&P 500 […]

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The Path to Normal

I am often asked, “When will things return to normal?” Despite their daily routines returning to normal, 有正规的大网赌网站吗者继续感受到Covid-19大流行对经济的余震[…]

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Thoughts on the Fallout from Silicon Valley Bank

In recent days, state banking authorities and the FDIC have closed three banks: Silvergate, Signature Bank, and Silicon Valley Bank (SVB). Both Silvergate and Signature Bank held a niche in […]

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Improved Expectations

Investors have been through a volatile multi-year stretch. 全球流行病和不稳定的货币政策相结合,导致美国gdp下降20%或更多.S. stock prices in three […]

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MarketWatch, December 27, 2022

亲爱的税务先生:我给一个癌症晚期的朋友买了一个便携式氧气机. Could it be a charitable donation?   Senior Wealth Advisor Michelle Jann reviews some of […]

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MarketWatch, December 21, 2022

Opinion: RMD calculation for charitable contributions: Here’s the most tax-efficient way to give   Senior Wealth Advisor Michelle Jann reviews the benefits of qualified charitable distributions (QCDs) for MarketWatch readers. […]

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TD Ameritrade Network, December 16, 2022

在当今市场构建有正规的大网赌网站吗组合的最佳方式有正规的大网赌网站吗组合管理总监Gavin Stephens, CFA, joined “Morning Trade Live” host Oliver Renick to talk about fixed income, […]

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When Good News Is Bad News

As this difficult year for investors moves ahead, a peculiar logic is taking hold over the markets: what is good is bad, and what is bad is good. In other […]

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The Bond Buyer, July 28, 2022

Munis follow UST rally post-weak GDP; fund inflows return   Director of Portfolio Management Gavin Stephens, CFA, tells The Bond Buyer that most of the damage to bonds is finished […]

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MarketWatch, July 26, 2022

Here’s the threat to markets if investors ignore ‘nontrivial’ stagflation risk   In a current state of stagflation, 有正规的大网赌网站吗组合管理总监Gavin Stephens向MarketWatch提供了关于如何[…]

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The Rising Value of Money

In our April 2021 edition of Insights, I wrote that inflation would become the new worry for investors. With the consumer price index above 8% the past three months, that […]

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The Wall Street Journal, June 22, 2022

Stocks Wobble as Powell Testifies Before Congress   Director of Porfolio Management Gavin Stephens spoke to The Wall Street Journal about recent market moves and recession indicators.   To read […]

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Life’s Third Act Podcast, June 21, 2022

A discussion on markets and Goelzer’s expansion into St. Louis   Don Hutchinson and Brett Stehl discuss the economy and inflation, market strategies and Goelzer’s expansion into St. Louis with […]

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FIN-News, June 9, 2022

Investment Advisor Adds Institutional Consultant   FIN-News, which provides insights on the institutional asset management space, 报道说,随着我们的发展,我们聘请了Brett Stehl作为网赌正规平台网址顾问[…]

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CNN Business, May 16, 2022

Stocks could fall a lot further   Director of Portfolio Management Gavin Stephens is quoted on whether the Fed will stay the course and hike rates, despite the stock market […]

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Is a Fed Put in Play?

Will declining stock prices cause the Federal Reserve to alter its course?     May 2022   During the last hiking cycle—a slow, deliberate cycle that began in December 2015—investors […]

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The Bond Buyer, April 27, 2022

Munis steady in their own lane amid UST volatility   Director of Portfolio Management Gavin Stephens speaks about time-sensitive opportunities in municipal bonds.   To read this article, please click […]

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On the Probability of Recession

April 2022   Prior to each of the past six U.S. economic recessions, the yield on 2-year U.S. Treasury notes has risen above the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds—a […]

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Reuters, April 22, 2022

Analysis: Some investors tiptoe back into Treasuries, as hawkish Fed clouds outlook   Director of Portfolio Management Gavin Stephens discusses Goelzer’s bond strategy amid a hawkish Fed.   To read […]

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The Bond Buyer, April 18, 2022

Munis hit on long end, play catch-up to Treasuries   Director of Portfolio Management Gavin Stephens’ commentary on the chances of a near-term recession is quoted.   To read this […]

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Sorting Through the Headwinds

新的一年里,整个股市的波动性急剧上升, bond, and commodities markets. Chart 1, for example, shows that daily price volatility for the […]

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War in Ukraine: Implications for the Economy and Markets

March 2022   Following Vladimir Putin’s decision to invade Ukraine, we have fielded many questions about potential spillover effects of the war on the global economy and on financial markets. […]

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MarketWatch, March 25, 2022

Stock-market investors should watch this part of the yield curve for the ‘best leading indicator of trouble ahead’   Director of Portfolio Management Gavin Stephens speaks to Joy Wiltermuth about […]

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The Bond Buyer, March 24, 2022

Munis hit hard on short end, damage felt along curve   Director of Portfolio Management Gavin Stephens’ commentary on the 3m/10y yield curve is quoted.   To read this article, […]

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Barron’s, March 23, 2022

The ‘Yield Curve’ Is Close to Inverting. A Different Curve Tells a More Upbeat Story   Director of Portfolio Management Gavin Stephens is quoted on why investors may be watching […]

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Our Annual Look to the Future

January 2022 “Tomorrow belongs to those who can hear it coming.——大卫·鲍伊我们的惯例是每年一开始就更新我们的十年计划。

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ESG Investing: What, Why, and Considerations for Successful Implementation

November 2021   Growing interest surrounding ESG investing, which stands for Environmental, Social, and Governance, requires institutional investors to be aware of the challenges and considerations in successfully implementing ESG […]

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Where Have the Vigilantes Gone?

October 2021 “I used to think if there was reincarnation, I wanted to come back as the president or the pope or a .400 baseball hitter. But now I want […]

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When Volatility Matters

July 2021 Investing involves risks. One type of risk we all try to avoid is the permanent loss of money. But a more common risk faced by investors is temporary […]

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Inflation: The New Worry

April 2021 Investing is a never-ending struggle between worry and optimism. 过去14个月的表现比近期记忆中的任何时期都要好. Beginning with panicked selling set off […]

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Abnormal Economy, Abnormal Markets

October 2020 While still below January’s pre-pandemic level, the U.S. 解除封锁限制以来,中国经济取得长足发展. Yet today’s economy is far from normal and, […]

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The Recovery Begins

我们从好消息开始:2月份开始的经济衰退已经结束. That is not to say that the economy is back to where it was […]

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Insights